Well, I Guess President Bush Has It Sewn Up

Poll: good news for President Bush – (United Press International)
Based on what I’ve been hearing to date — with Kerry leading in the polls — there was much celebration and much was being made of it. I said it doesn’t mean anything, it’s too early and President Bush hadn’t started campaigning yet.

Well, he has started campaigning and it still doesn’t mean anything. Assuming there’s some causality between the Bush ad campaign and the change in the polls, it really only proves something else I’ve been saying: it’s very hard for a Senator to win the Presidency. There’s a paper trail a mile long of votes that Kerry has made — not to mention the Congressional Record — dating back to his advocacy of a nuclear freeze during the Cold War and his initial Senate campaign to cut the defense budget.

We will be hearing about these things. All of them, but that doesn’t mean Bush will glide back into the White House. There’s a strong base of people that loath President Bush — they don’t like his swagger, they don’t like the war in Iraq, they don’t like his tax cuts, etc. — and he will have to work for every vote he gets.

U.S. President George Bush has pulled ahead of Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., in the public’s opinion for the first time since mid-February.

A USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll released Tuesday indicates Bush leads the expected Democratic presidential nominee 51 percent to 47 percent. With independent Ralph Nader in the race, Bush leads 49 percent to 45 percent, and Nader gets 4 percent.

The poll suggests Bush’s recent campaign ads, which say Kerry has a record of flip-flopping while serving in the Senate, are hurting Kerry.

Before the White House’s $28 million ad campaign, 60 percent rated Kerry favorably and 26 percent unfavorably.

Now, 53 percent view him favorably and 36 percent unfavorably. In states where polls and historic trends indicate the race will be close, the ads have reduced Kerry’s 28-point lead to a six-point deficit.

“Bush seems to be having some success in selling the idea that Kerry’s voting record in the Senate is all over the place,” says Maurice Carroll, polling director at Quinnipiac University in Connecticut.

The public also approves of Bush’s handling of the war on terrorism, with 67 percent saying Bush could not have prevented the attacks.

Stay tuned. It’ll be a long ride.

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